5 Comments

Thank you so much for taking the time to share these updates! It’s so hard for a lay person (such as myself) to find reliable data and correctly interpret it and I just wanted to say I appreciate you so much. 🙂

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Thank you for these updates. You mentioned Georgia hospitalization stabilizing. Arizona appears to be going down. Obviously this could be from social behavior mask ect. There was a New York times article about Arizona with zero mention that the virus could be slowing because there are more immune people out there. You didn't mention it either as a possibility in Georgia stabilizing. That seems the most obvious and it is really early to know but it seems it's worth a mention. I took one semester of Virology and you have a PhD so what am I missing?. Is this just not a possibility or are the experts afraid to even raise the point until they are absolutely sure out of fear that people will let their guard down?

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In McDuffie County, the school district is offering an in-person learning, no mask requirement policy or distance learning. What is safest? What if your child has sleep apnea, Downs, obesity, former heart patient and encopresis? I wanted my child to learn from home, since I work remotely and have homeschooled before but I’m co-parenting with their dad who disagrees. He says our so. Is not high risk and schools are safe. We go to court next week. Can you offer an opinion?

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7-day average deaths have increased recently but death rates (deaths/cases) have been declining significantly. If I put a 14-day lag those two, death rate has been at 1.0% since July 3. 7-day average ICU/Hospitalizations is also half of what is was at a peak level in June. So, there are a lot of new cases but they are less severe.

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I'm surprised you're using daily *reports* of cases, and not the backdated cases. I feel confident that you know that the stack of cases today will get back-applied across the past few weeks (and mostly the past 7-10 days), and that the real graph of more accurately backdated cases, as viewable on the DPH website, actually shows cases started DECREASING two weeks ago, and that the trend appears to be continuing across the next 3-5 days (and may well be continuous ever since then, but we won't know for sure until another 14 days has past).

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