7 Comments

Dr. Schmidtke, I am seeing your data for the first time today. I led a large team of data analysts for a healthcare technology company before I retired. I've also been analyzing COVD-19 data (focused on the Atlanta metro area) and circulating my analysis to a few friends.

I note that you indicate that the WHO recommends a target of 5 percent positive tests to determine the appropriate volume of testing. Based on this article: https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/04/22/840526338/is-the-u-s-testing-enough-for-covid-19-as-debate-rages-on-heres-how-to-know , I thought the WHO recommended 10 percent positive tests as the benchmark for testing volume. Could you point me to a source that has the 5 percent number? If I've been setting the wrong target, I'd like to fix it.

Thanks for your help.

Robert Wittenstein

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Great info and thx for putting this together and sharing! Can’t stress that enough.

Only comment would be on the last table, wrt results since reopening, wouldn’t it be fair to mention that there are more days after the reopening vs before, from a pandemic perspective?

You mention March in the section on daily hospitalizations, as a timeframe of “when the pandemic arrived”. From a deaths standpoint, March 10th might be a good starting point. In that case, compared to July 15th, 64.6% of time is after the re-opening date.

As time marches on and 70% and 80% of the time is post re-opening, it might be even more important to add that context

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Glad to see you are comparing daily tests with daily rather than cumulative cases now. That’s apples to apples. Although there is a lay of daily variation, the trend from June 1 till now appears to show a good correlation between testing output and new cases. Can you do a 7 day average graphs to smooth out the daily variability?

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You have put Rabun county as a county of concern, but the numbers from DPH do not seem to match that. What numbers are you seeing for there? Is the status related to the YMCA camp outbreak?

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Looks like your URL is no longer blocked by Facebook.

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